第四題：英翻中【25 分】 For the prognosticators on the US National Intelligence Council who sat down in 2004 to consider what the world might look like in 2020, the answer depended heavily on one big question: What did the future of globalization look like? By 2020, they predicted, globalization would face a political backlash in a world increasingly plagued by identity politics. Yet if anything was going to really derail economic integration, it would likely be the mass spread of a deadly new disease. “Short of a major global conflict, which we regard as improbable, another large-scale development that we believe could stop globalization would be a pandemic,” the council warned in a report laying out the findings of its “Project 2020.” A death toll in the millions and a virus that “put a halt to global travel and trade during an extended period” would certainly leave globalization “endangered.”
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