申論題

第五題： Political transitions on both sides of the Pacific will figure heavily in China’s efforts to keep its economy on track in 2017. Uncertainty over what U.S. President-elect Donald Trump will do with trade policy once he takes office is overshadowing the outlook for China and the rest of Asia in myriad ways. At the same time, China has its own politics to consider: With the once-in-five years Communist Party Congress coming in fall, the leadership in Beijing will be hell-bent on keeping growth on an even keel. The latest data suggest that China has once again fended off a “hard landing,” at least for now. Trump’s unorthodox stances on trade and his antagonistic comments about Beijing are an unpleasant distraction for Chinese planners trying to fine-tune policy to keep growth from faltering while at the same time reducing risks of excess speculative investment in the property sector. 【20 分】